What Are the Odds?

While most of us believe in the seven-year-itch, it’s a myth. The real itch comes in year five of marriage, which is the year in which most Canadian marriages wipe out.

Okay, let’s go back a bit: In the first year of marriage, the divorce rate is less than one divorce for every 1,000 marriages. In year two, the divorce rate climbs to 5.1 per 1,000 marriages. It then leaps to 17.0 in year three, to 23.6 in year four, and peaks at 25.5 in year five. For each additional year of marriage, the risk of divorce slowly decreases.

Marriage longevity is pretty poor in Canada (and the U.S.) when compared to other places in the world. In France, Germany, Austria, and Italy there are approximately 2 divorces for every 1,000 people annually. The Spanish are really anti-divorce with an annual divorce rate of only 0.6 for every 1,000 people. Higher rates of divorce are found in Eastern European countries—Estonia, Ukraine, and Belarus have an annual rate of about 4 divorces for every 1,000 people.

In 2000, couples married for less than 15 years made up 60% of divorces. And the age you marry at impacts how likely you are to divorce.


Age at marriage for those who divorce in the U.S.

Age at Marriage
Women 
Men
Under 20 years old 
27.6% 
11.7%
20 to 24     
36.6%
38.8%
25 to 29
16.4% 
22.3%
30 to 34 
8.5% 
11.6%
35 to 39
5.1%
6.5%

 

Source: http://www.divorcepeers.com/statistics.htm





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